I decided to go ahead and check the newly released Day 1 conv outlook. Sigh. Do I really want to drive to MO? This is really making me think about it:
This could change by morning, but I doubt it. Plus there's wording like this:
"...SIGNIFICANT OUTBREAK OF TORNADOES IS FORECAST THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF THE LOWER MO AND MID MS RIVER VALLEYS..."
"STRONG LLJ WILL CONTRIBUTE TO LARGE HODOGRAPHS SUPPORTING TORNADOES...SOME STRONG TO SIGNIFICANT ACROSS CENTRAL/ NRN MO"
I guess this will be the first test of the season of whether the SPC is calling it like it is, or screaming the sky is falling. We'll see. Sigh.